A new YouGov poll has revealed growing discontent within the UK Conservative Party, with nearly half of its members expressing opposition to Prime Minister Kemi Badenoch’s leadership ahead of the next general election.
According to the poll, which was reported by Sky News, 50% of Conservative members said they do not want Badenoch to lead the party into the next election, while 46% said they do. The survey indicates a widening divide within the Tory ranks as the party prepares for its annual conference in Manchester this week.
Jenrick Emerges as Members’ Favourite
The results suggest that Robert Jenrick, who lost to Badenoch in last year’s leadership race, has regained significant ground and is now the favourite among Tory members.
When asked who they would prefer as party leader, 46% of respondents backed Jenrick, compared to 39% for Badenoch. Eleven percent said they preferred neither, while four percent were undecided.
The poll also found that members are split over Badenoch’s political future, with 49% believing she will be replaced before the next election, while 47% think she will remain in office.
The YouGov survey, conducted between September 26 and October 2, sampled 652 Conservative Party members.
Badenoch Still Retains Personal Popularity
Despite internal dissent, Badenoch continues to enjoy strong personal favourability among Tory members. The poll found that 70% view her favourably, while 29% hold an unfavourable opinion.
Jenrick, however, scored even higher on this metric, with 73% of members expressing a positive opinion and only 20% viewing him unfavourably.
The report also suggested that in hypothetical head-to-head matchups, Jenrick would beat other senior Conservatives — including Boris Johnson, James Cleverly, and Priti Patel — while Badenoch would narrowly defeat Johnson in a direct contest.
Disagreement Over Electoral Pact
On the issue of a potential electoral pact with Reform UK, Badenoch has publicly ruled out any alliance — a stance that appears out of step with the party base.
The poll found that 64% of Conservative members support forming a pact with Reform UK, under which both parties would avoid standing candidates against each other in key target constituencies. Only 31% opposed the idea.
Party Divided Ahead of Conference
The findings come at a crucial time for Badenoch, who faces mounting pressure to reassert control and unify the party. The upcoming Manchester conference is seen as an opportunity for her to strengthen her position and rally the Conservative base amid sliding poll numbers nationally.
Political analysts note that while Badenoch retains substantial grassroots support, the growing appeal of Jenrick and internal calls for a right-wing electoral alliance could reshape the Conservative Party’s leadership landscape in the months ahead.
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